By 2036, the U.S. is projected to have a shortfall of around 630 GI physicians, according to projections from the Department of Health and Human Services’ Health Resources and Services Administration.
The shortage, however, is not evenly distributed. While several large and mid-Atlantic states — including New York, Massachusetts and Pennsylvania — are projected to have sizable surpluses, much of the South and Mountain West is expected to see significant deficits. Nevada, Wyoming, Alaska and Montana are projected to meet just 33% to 50% of demand, and states such as Oklahoma, South Carolina, Arkansas and Mississippi are forecast to operate at less than 70% adequacy.